The market had an excellent day yesterday, doing just well enough to convince me to move out of my 100% cash position and go ahead with a stock purchase. And that purchase was Crocs (CROX), maker of those funny, swiss-cheese looking shoes that you see all over the place.
Considering the fact that I have only been investing for a year and a half, I suppose I could go as far to call CROX my “heritage stock.” I’ve researched this stock more than any other, and have a certain fondness for it after buying it for $30 and selling it after it had doubled only a few months later.
Then October came, and the stock took a massive hit after reporting a dissapointing earning forecast for next quarter. And the stock kept falling, and falling, until it bottomed out around 7 a few weeks ago. I had written the stock off awhile ago, until, of all things, a trip to the ice cream parlor made me remember it. As I stood waiting in line, I noticed that every single one of the dozen ice cream servers wore Crocs. Literally half of the customers did as well. If Crocs was truly last year’s fad, why are so many people still wearing them?
Because they’re comfortable. I think that’s a big reason why they cannot simply be written off as a fad. A select group may very well wear Crocs because of the fashion statement they make. But I own three pairs, and wear them because they’re incredibly comfortable, cheap, and convenient. A co-worker of mine owns five pairs, including one pair decorated with New England Patriots logos.
One worry is knock-off competition, but every single review I could find of the knock-off’s say that they’re uncomfortable and they break quickly.
Foreign sales are increasing dramatically, which means entirely new markets that could catch on. Recent acquisitions of a few popular clothing lines also help expand their catalog to more cold weather options. Of course, I’ve yet to hear if these clothing lines have really sold well or not.
I will definitely admit that this is a risky trade. There’s no telling if this is a dead cat bounce or not, and the financials over the past few quarters have been steadily negative. This is much more of a play on the company itself, much like it was for Google a few months ago. This is also a very volatile market to be buying into.
I’ll also admit that I succumbed to an investing fault I still need to work on. When I have a stock on my watch list, and that stock suddenly skyrockets (like CROX did yesterday, up 10%), I’ll kick myself and buy the stock right away, instead of waiting for a pullback. The feeling of missing the boat is one I have to learn to get over, as the potential benefits of getting in a few days earlier are rarely worth the risk of buying at the top.
Lastly, I am very excited to have signed up for Covestor, an investing social network that automatically shares your portfolio holdings, and just recently added automatic support from Zecco. So I’ll work in incorporating that shortly.
BOUGHT: Crocs (CROX @ 8.48)








